TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 8:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional women's soccer match between Ajax and Twente, focusing on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market will determine whether Ajax wins, Twente wins, or the game ends in a tie based on the final score at the end of regular time. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will be handled according to specific fairness guidelines.
The event resolves based on the result of the Ajax vs Twente professional Eredivisie Vrouwen soccer game scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: Ajax win, Twente win, or a tie. If Ajax scores more goals than Twente by the end of regular time, the 'Ajax' market resolves to Yes. If Twente scores more goals than Ajax, the 'Twente' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by actual money being wagered. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbook odds, especially as the event draws nearer.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ajax vs Twente match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the availability of key players for either Ajax or Twente would likely cause movement. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or changes in weather conditions affecting the game, could also impact the market. Public sentiment and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, can sometimes influence trader behavior.