TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:13 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional women's soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result is determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Markets will adjust fairly if the match is significantly rescheduled or canceled.
The event resolves based on the result of the Ajax vs Eindhoven professional Eredivisie Vrouwen soccer match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Ajax wins, the 'Ajax' market resolves to Yes. If Eindhoven wins, the 'Eindhoven' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not include extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders who believe they have an informational edge. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Ajax vs Eindhoven match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Ajax vs Eindhoven match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe an outcome will occur, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Ajax vs Eindhoven match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market price of their contract at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and official sources as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions on either Ajax or Eindhoven would likely impact the odds. Any news regarding team formations, tactical changes, or changes in coaching staff could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match commentary from analysts, could shift the market’s sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths will likely be reflected in the price of this market.