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$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Ajax vs Atalanta: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Ajax vs Atalanta?

Volume:
$59,865

Ajax wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Ajax wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 4:54 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ajax wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,674
N/A
N/A
$16,055
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atalanta wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,098
N/A
N/A
$10,096
Settled
No
kalshi

Atalanta wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,400
N/A
N/A
$6,549
Settled
No
kalshi

Ajax wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,693
N/A
N/A
$2,992
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Ajax and Atalanta, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for how many goals the winning team scores over the opponent. The result is determined solely by the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the Ajax versus Atalanta professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for October 22, 2026. Resolution is based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty phases are disregarded. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Ajax winning by more than 2.5 goals, Ajax winning by more than 1.5 goals, Atalanta winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Atalanta winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolving to 'Yes' occurs when the actual goal differential meets or exceeds the specified threshold for the respective team’s victory. The governing body’s official match result, as recognized by the league, serves as the definitive reference for scoring data. Kalshi explicitly states no official affiliation with the league or its entities, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Ajax vs Atalanta match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $59,865, with $53,250 traded in the last 24 hours. Traders on Kalshi are expressing their beliefs about the likely point spread for this soccer match, and the dashboard visualizes this collective forecast. This allows you to see how the market is interpreting available information and potential outcomes.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders. If a significant amount of money flows towards one outcome, the price will shift, potentially signaling information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook odds. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes public, as this market can react quickly to news and analysis regarding the Ajax vs Atalanta match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different sides of the spread, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Essentially, the price reflects the probability that the spread will fall on the buy side. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price for that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations for the Ajax vs Atalanta match.

This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Ajax vs Atalanta match, as reported by a reputable sports data provider, will determine the winning side of the market. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Ajax or Atalanta would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other relevant matches, or even breaking news about the clubs’ internal situations, could shift the perceived probabilities. As the match date approaches, any updates from team training sessions or pre-game press conferences will be closely watched by traders and could move this market.