TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace - Halftime Result
Volume:
$2,704
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers halftime results for the Ligue 1 match between AJ Auxerre and RC Strasbourg Alsace scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets assess whether Auxerre leads, Strasbourg leads, or the teams draw after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket presents three mutually exclusive outcome-specific binary markets, while Kalshi presents a single market that resolves Yes to all possible halftime outcomes. This is a scope and product structure divergence, not a logical contradiction.Hero Tip:
Understand that Polymarket and Kalshi are measuring different things. Polymarket: outcome prediction (who leads at halftime). Kalshi: match completion (does the match happen and produce a halftime result). Kalshi Yes is nearly certain unless the match is postponed or cancelled; Polymarket markets are competitive outcome bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering mutually exclusive halftime outcomes. Auxerre leading resolves Yes only if Auxerre scores more goals in first 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Strasbourg leading resolves Yes only if Strasbourg scores more. Draw resolves Yes only if both teams have equal goals. Exactly one market resolves Yes per match. Resolution source: official governing body statistics or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours.
- Kalshi: Single market with three Yes conditions: Auxerre wins first half, Tie occurs, or Strasbourg wins first half. All three outcomes trigger Yes resolution. Market resolves No only if match is postponed (remains open) or cancelled with no makeup. Effectively a binary on match completion, not outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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