TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace
Volume:
$2,072,149
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Ligue 1 professional soccer match between AJ Auxerre and RC Strasbourg Alsace scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Auxerre win, Strasbourg win, or draw. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation outcome divergence between platforms. Polymarket explicitly differentiates cancellation resolution by outcome type (wins resolve No, draw resolves Yes), while Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, leaving settlement ambiguous if the match is canceled without a make-up game.Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation risk. On Polymarket, the draw market has favorable cancellation terms (resolves Yes) while win markets have unfavorable terms (resolve No). Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation guidance means traders face settlement risk if the match is canceled. Request clarification from Kalshi before expiration.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit cancellation clauses. Auxerre win and Strasbourg win markets resolve No if game is canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled with no make-up. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No (for wins) or Yes (for draw).
- Kalshi: Three markets presented as universally resolvable to Yes if their respective outcome occurs (Tie, Auxerre win, or Strasbourg win). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: If Tie wins the game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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