TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:11h:03m
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This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between AJ Auxerre and Paris FC. The market resolves based on the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with a 'Neither' option if no goal is scored in that timeframe.
In the upcoming match between AJ Auxerre and Paris FC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AJ Auxerre" if AJ Auxerre are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Paris FC" if Paris FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AJ Auxerre and Paris FC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AJ Auxerre" if AJ Auxerre are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Paris FC" if Paris FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for this market can arise due to several factors. Different user bases on each platform may have varying beliefs about the relative strengths of AJ Auxerre and Paris FC, leading to differing demand for each outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in greater price volatility and divergence. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery – how traders place bets and how odds are adjusted – may differ slightly between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to these observed differences. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price inconsistencies.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team scores the first goal in the AJ Auxerre versus Paris FC match. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be verified against credible public sources. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as that will be the basis for settlement of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either AJ Auxerre or Paris FC would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, as demonstrated in recent matches, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might influence playing style and therefore the perceived probability of either team scoring first. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis or expert opinions released could sway traders and cause fluctuations in the Auxerre vs. Paris FC first-to-score market.