TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:19 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Air Force versus Wyoming college football game will exceed 41.5 points. Currently, the probability of the game scoring Over 41.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the total points scored in the Air Force vs Wyoming game, as reported according to the rules specified by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve to Yes or No based on the final score following the originally scheduled game date of October 23, 2026, with final resolution occurring by October 24, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of Air Force and Wyoming in their game scheduled for October 23, 2026, exceeds specified point thresholds ranging from 22.5 to 64.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final score. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment regardless of schedule changes. The markets are independent assessments of different scoring levels, each with its own resolution criteria tied to the actual game outcome or fair valuation if the game cannot proceed as scheduled.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with sportsbook odds as the event approaches. However, differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and differing participant motivations. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to express their own beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the prediction market incorporates information and opinions not fully reflected in initial sportsbook offerings. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price by placing bids and asks. The current price represents the probability of the total points being *below* that value. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders can consistently outperform the market. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, indicating the level of conviction among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final points total of the Air Force vs Wyoming game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The final score, including any overtime periods, will be used to determine whether the actual total points scored were above or below the price at which contracts were traded on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the Air Force vs Wyoming points total market. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions. Updates on team strategies or offensive/defensive adjustments could also impact expectations. Finally, any significant public information regarding the teams' performance or preparedness – such as analyst reports or unexpected coaching changes – could shift the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on new information.