TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:33 PM EST
Kalshi
Two markets focus on which team will lead after the first half of an Air Force versus Wyoming college football game. The outcome depends entirely on the scoring during the initial 30 minutes of play, with a third option available if the teams are tied at halftime.
These markets resolve based solely on which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Air Force vs Wyoming college football game scheduled for October 23, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the first half or if neither team leads (tie). Only points scored during the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, they can express that view by trading contracts in this market, driving the price towards what they perceive as a more accurate probability. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds becoming more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the first-half winner. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely result. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the first half of the Air Force vs Wyoming game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official game statistics, and the outcome will be based on which team has the higher score at the end of the first half. Any potential overtime periods will not be considered when determining the first-half winner for the purposes of this market. The platform will verify the result and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Air Force or Wyoming would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived advantage of either team. Major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could also lead to price fluctuations. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or coaching decisions could contribute to changes in the market price before Oct 24, 2026.