TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Bettors can choose specific point thresholds for either team, allowing them to speculate on the game's scoring dynamics and potential outcomes.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of Northern Illinois and Air Force in their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for one team; if the team's score exceeds the stated threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Postponements are accounted for—if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, it resolves normally. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. However, as the event approaches, this market and sportsbook odds tend to converge, both influenced by the latest news and analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Air Force vs Northern Illinois game’s team total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market's depth—the number of contracts available at different price points—indicates the level of confidence in each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Air Force vs Northern Illinois game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official score as recorded by the governing sports organization. The market will determine whether the total points scored by either team exceeded or fell short of the predetermined threshold, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence this market before the Air Force vs Northern Illinois game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.