TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Army over 13.5 points
- Kalshi
Army over 13.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:00h:33m
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These markets track the performance of both teams in a college football rivalry game, focusing on whether each team exceeds specific point thresholds. Outcomes are determined by the official game result, with adjustments for postponements within a defined timeframe.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of Army and Air Force in their college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds set in each individual market.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action, whereas this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. While sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like public perception and potential liabilities, the prices in this market are driven purely by supply and demand among traders. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or as opinions shift.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Air Force vs Army game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The closer we get to the event, the more the price will likely converge towards the true probability of the outcome, as traders refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Air Force vs Army game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing body of college football, and will determine whether the total points scored by either team exceeded or fell short of the threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. The final price of the contracts will then reflect the actual outcome of the game, and traders will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market leading up to Nov 8, 2026. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Air Force or Army teams would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact expectations. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, or even public sentiment shifts based on expert analysis, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in the game’s location could also be significant catalysts.