TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Army wins by over 3.5 points
- Kalshi
Army wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:23h:43m
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The Air Force vs Army college football game is an annual rivalry match that draws significant attention from fans and bettors. This event allows participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team through various point-spread thresholds.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Air Force vs Army college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point-spread threshold, with outcomes resolving to 'Yes' if the winning team's margin exceeds the respective threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, determined independently for each threshold. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the game. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Air Force vs Army game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders essentially 'bet' on their predictions by purchasing contracts, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately reflect the collective forecast of the market.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Air Force vs Army game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body for college football. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range defined by the purchased contracts. All trading will cease once the outcome is known and verified, and payouts will be distributed to contract holders accordingly.
Several factors could influence the Air Force vs Army spread market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game location might also play a role, as weather conditions can heavily influence the outcome of a football game. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also contribute to market movements. Major upsets in other relevant games or changes in betting trends could indirectly affect this market as well, prompting traders to reassess their positions.