This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Air Force Falcons and Wyoming Cowboys scheduled for March 7, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Air Force win and Wyoming win) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unhedgeable against Polymarket.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading this market on Kalshi until the logic is corrected. The platform cannot distinguish between the two teams, rendering the market useless for prediction or hedging. Use Polymarket exclusively for this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary winner-take-all structure. Air Force victory resolves to Air Force Falcons, Wyoming victory resolves to Wyoming Cowboys. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Overtime included in final score determination.
Kalshi:
Defective conditional logic. Both Air Force win and Wyoming win conditions resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Market cannot differentiate between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.