TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between the Air Force Falcons and the Wright State Raiders, scheduled for November 2nd. Markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for handling postponements and cancellations.
This event is for the CBB game between Air Force Falcons and Wright State Raiders on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution is tied to the official outcome of the Air Force vs Wright St. men’s college basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If Wright St. wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Air Force wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but start within 48 hours of the original time, markets stay open and resolve per the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi stresses it is not associated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
This event is for the CBB game between Air Force Falcons and Wright State Raiders on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Air Force vs. Wright State game can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume tends to have more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting odds – how traders can place bets and the fees involved – can differ between Polymarket and Kalshi, influencing price formation. These subtle differences contribute to the observed discrepancies in probabilities.