TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Air Force Falcons vs. Wright State Raiders
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win Air Force Falcons vs Wright State Raiders?

Volume:
$16,012

Wright St.

 - Kalshi

Wright St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 9:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wright St.

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,561
N/A
N/A
$5,319
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Air Force

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,291
N/A
N/A
$5,804
Settled
No
polymarket

Air Force Falcons vs. Wright State Raiders

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Air Force Falcons vs. Wright State Raiders

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between the Air Force Falcons and the Wright State Raiders, scheduled for November 2nd. Markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for handling postponements and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves on either team winning, while Polymarket resolves to the specific winning team.Hero tip: Consider Polymarket for a more direct bet on the game's outcome. Kalshi's market is effectively a 'game completion' bet.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the specific winning team (Air Force Falcons or Wright State Raiders). "If the Air Force Falcons win, the market will resolve to "Air Force Falcons". If the Wright State Raiders win, the market will resolve to "Wright State Raiders".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins the game. "If Wright St. wins...the market resolves to Yes. If Air Force wins...the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the CBB game between Air Force Falcons and Wright State Raiders on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is tied to the official outcome of the Air Force vs Wright St. men’s college basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If Wright St. wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Air Force wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but start within 48 hours of the original time, markets stay open and resolve per the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi stresses it is not associated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the CBB game between Air Force Falcons and Wright State Raiders on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Air Force vs. Wright State game, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters. This contrasts with sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller number of professional oddsmakers. While sportsbooks consider factors like team statistics and expert analysis, this market incorporates a broader range of information and potentially anticipates unexpected events more effectively. The difference between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can sometimes indicate areas where the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the outcome, or vice versa.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Air Force vs. Wright State game can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume tends to have more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting odds – how traders can place bets and the fees involved – can differ between Polymarket and Kalshi, influencing price formation. These subtle differences contribute to the observed discrepancies in probabilities.