TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos (W)
Volume:
$81,847
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Air Force Falcons and Boise State Broncos scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Boise St. win and Air Force win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
This is a critical platform error on Kalshi. Both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot resolve to Yes. Before trading, demand clarification from Kalshi support on whether the Air Force condition should resolve to No instead. Polymarket's binary structure is sound and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to Air Force Falcons if Air Force wins; resolves to Boise State Broncos if Boise State wins. Handles postponement by keeping market open; handles cancellation with no makeup by splitting 50-50. Key quote: 'If the Air Force Falcons win, the market will resolve to "Air Force Falcons". If the Boise State Broncos win, the market will resolve to "Boise State Broncos".' Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically broken Yes/No structure. States both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Boise St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Air Force wins... resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the No outcome is undefined and both mutually exclusive game results map to identical resolution. No edge case handling for postponement or cancellation is specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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