TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a league game scheduled for a specific date. The resolution depends solely on the result after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. If the match does not occur on time, special provisions apply to determine a fair resolution.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the AIK vs Goteborg Allsvenskan soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026: a win for AIK, a win for Goteborg, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and not including extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to one of these outcomes and resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions and probabilities at that time. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the goal of balancing action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. Comparing the odds here to those found at sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value or mispricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the AIK vs Goteborg match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, potentially causing the market to react quickly. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential trading opportunities.