TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This group resolves based on the outcome of a single AHL hockey game between the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins and the Utica Comets, scheduled for October 30, 2026. The market determines whether the Penguins or the Comets win the game, accounting for overtime and shootouts.
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 30 at 7:00PM ET: If Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins". If Utica Comets win, the market will resolve to "Utica Comets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
The event determines the winner of the professional AHL hockey game between Wilkes Barre-Scranton Penguins and Utica Comets scheduled for October 30, 2026. If the Wilkes Barre-Scranton Penguins win, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the Utica Comets’ market resolves to No, and vice versa for an Utica Comets victory. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or a strong consensus forming. It’s common to see this market’s probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges closer to game time.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-making strategies. Each platform attracts a different set of participants with varying levels of expertise and information. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and price discovery on Polymarket and Kalshi aren't identical, leading to potential price discrepancies. These differences can also arise from varying liquidity levels and the overall volume traded on each platform. It's important to consider these factors when interpreting the odds for the AHL Penguins-Comets game.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant performance trends for either the Penguins or the Comets could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or changes in game location could also have an impact. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in social media or sports news coverage, might influence traders' beliefs and move the market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price movements.