TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a single AHL hockey game between the Texas Stars and the Rockford IceHogs scheduled for November 1, 2026. The market resolves to the winning team, accounting for overtime and shootouts (with a shootout goal added to the winning team's score). Cancellation with no makeup game results in a 50-50 split.
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for November 1 at 5:00PM ET: If Texas Stars win, the market will resolve to "Texas Stars". If Rockford IceHogs win, the market will resolve to "Rockford IceHogs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the Texas Stars vs. Rockford Icehogs professional AHL hockey game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If the Texas Stars win, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the Rockford Icehogs’ market resolves to No, and vice versa. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and adjust more rapidly to breaking news or changing circumstances than traditional odds, though both aim to predict the same ultimate outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Texas Stars or the Rockford IceHogs would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected changes in goaltending matchups could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news about team morale or internal dynamics, could all contribute to price movements. A significant shift in public sentiment, perhaps triggered by social media discussions or expert analysis, could also move this market.