TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:25 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 11 at 5:00PM ET: If Texas Stars win, the market will resolve to "Texas Stars". If Hershey Bears win, the market will resolve to "Hershey Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 11 at 5:00PM ET: If Texas Stars win, the market will resolve to "Texas Stars". If Hershey Bears win, the market will resolve to "Hershey Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a team, they can drive the price in this market to reflect that view. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. For example, a share trading at $0.60 implies a 60% chance of that outcome being correct, according to the traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect the official result of the AHL championship series between the Texas Stars and the Hershey Bears. Resolution will be based on the winner of the series as declared by the American Hockey League. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Key player injuries on either the Texas Stars or the Hershey Bears would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected results in early games of the series, coaching decisions, or even momentum swings could also move the market. Any news regarding team performance, player availability, or strategic changes will be closely watched by traders, potentially leading to increased volume and price adjustments as the championship series progresses.