TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Springfield Thunderbirds vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Volume:
$2,374
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Springfield Thunderbirds and Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:05 PM EST. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this regular-season game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules contain a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear binary resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The published rules are contradictory and create a market that cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version with coherent logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary winner-take-all structure. Springfield win resolves to Springfield Thunderbirds; Wilkes-Barre win resolves to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Overtime and shootout goals are counted in final score. Source: theahl.com/stats/schedule.
- Kalshi: Defective logic: states both 'If Springfield Thunderbirds wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Wilkes Barre-Scranton Penguins wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where any outcome produces Yes, rendering the market non-binary and unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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