TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 8:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 25 at 4:00PM ET: If Rockford IceHogs win, the market will resolve to "Rockford IceHogs". If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Marlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 25 at 4:00PM ET: If Rockford IceHogs win, the market will resolve to "Rockford IceHogs". If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Marlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event or that new information hasn't been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current trading volume of $1,120 suggests active participation and a degree of confidence in the market's price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the AHL game between the Rockford IceHogs and the Toronto Marlies. The winning team, as determined by the official game statistics, will dictate the settlement of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Rockford IceHogs or the Toronto Marlies would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding coaching changes or team strategies might also impact the market. Finally, any updates on the overall AHL standings or playoff implications could influence how traders assess the likelihood of either team winning.