This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Rockford IceHogs and Iowa Wild scheduled for March 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Rockford win and Iowa win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the contradiction is clarified. Kalshi likely intended a binary Yes/No structure (e.g., separate markets for each team), but the published description is logically invalid. Polymarket's winner-takes-all structure is clear and resolvable. Contact Kalshi support to confirm intended resolution logic before committing capital.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary outcome: Rockford win resolves to Rockford IceHogs; Iowa win resolves to Iowa Wild. Includes edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Shootout goals are counted as one goal added to winner's score. Key Quote: 'If Rockford IceHogs win, the market will resolve to "Rockford IceHogs". If Iowa Wild win, the market will resolve to "Iowa Wild".'
Kalshi:
Contradictory dual-Yes resolution: states both 'If Rockford Icehogs wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Iowa Wild wins...resolves to Yes.' Only one team can win a game, making simultaneous Yes resolution logically impossible. No edge case handling provided. Key Quote: 'If Rockford Icehogs wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa Wild wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.