TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Rochester Americans vs. Springfield Thunderbirds
Volume:
$10,229
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Rochester Americans and Springfield Thunderbirds scheduled for April 10, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Rochester wins OR Springfield wins) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), leaving no valid path for a No resolution and rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction market.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a data entry error or an intentional market design. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound and should be preferred for this matchup.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary win-based resolution. Rochester win resolves to Rochester Americans, Springfield win resolves to Springfield Thunderbirds. Postponements keep market open; full cancellations resolve 50-50. Shootout goals are counted in final score.
- Kalshi: Contradictory dual-Yes mapping. Both Rochester win AND Springfield win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility where no outcome can resolve to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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