TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Providence Bruins vs. Bridgeport Islanders
Volume:
$1,037
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Providence Bruins and Bridgeport Islanders scheduled for March 7, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets around the outcome of this game, with slightly different market structures and resolution criteria.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Providence win and Bridgeport win) are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no valid path to No and making the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version until corrected. Use Polymarket as the authoritative reference. The Kalshi market description appears to be a copy-paste error where both outcomes were assigned to Yes instead of Yes/No respectively.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner-takes-all categorical resolution. Resolves to "Providence Bruins" if Providence wins or "Bridgeport Islanders" if Bridgeport wins. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Shootout goals counted as +1 to winner's score. Source: theahl.com/stats/schedule.
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with critical flaw: states "If Providence Bruins wins... then the market resolves to Yes" AND "If Bridgeport Islanders wins... then the market resolves to Yes." Both outcomes map to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No resolution condition for No is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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