TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Ontario Reign vs. Tucson Roadrunners
Volume:
$3,066
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Ontario Reign and Tucson Roadrunners scheduled for February 22, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST. Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are predicting the outcome of this matchup, with differing resolution structures and edge-case handling.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi employs a binary Yes/Yes structure with no explicit edge-case protocol, while Polymarket uses categorical resolution with detailed postponement and cancellation rules. This creates resolution uncertainty for Kalshi in non-standard game outcomes.Hero Tip:
Polymarket traders have explicit protection: postponed games stay open, canceled games resolve 50-50. Kalshi traders face ambiguity on cancellation and indefinite postponement. If you trade Kalshi, confirm the platform's cancellation policy in writing. Polymarket is the safer choice for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/Yes structure: both Ontario Reign win and Tucson Roadrunners win resolve to Yes. No stated resolution for postponement, cancellation, or tie. Key quote: If Ontario Reign wins the game originally scheduled for Feb 22, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tucson Roadrunners wins... then the market resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: Ontario Reign resolves to Ontario Reign, Tucson Roadrunners resolves to Tucson Roadrunners. Postponed games remain open until completion. Canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout outcomes count as one goal added to winner's score. Key quote: If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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