TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Chicago Wolves
Description
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for April 19 at 4:00PM ET: If Milwaukee Admirals win, the market will resolve to "Milwaukee Admirals". If Chicago Wolves win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Wolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market logic is fundamentally broken: it resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Milwaukee Admirals win OR Chicago Wolves win), making the market logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket has coherent binary resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely on this market. The resolution rules state the market resolves YES if either team wins, which violates basic binary market logic. On Polymarket, you have a standard winner-take-all binary: bet Milwaukee or Chicago, one resolves YES and one resolves NO.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary sports resolution: Milwaukee Admirals win resolves to Milwaukee Admirals, Chicago Wolves win resolves to Chicago Wolves. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Quote: 'If Milwaukee Admirals win, the market will resolve to Milwaukee Admirals. If Chicago Wolves win, the market will resolve to Chicago Wolves.'
- Kalshi: Logically incoherent: states market resolves YES if Milwaukee Admirals wins AND also resolves YES if Chicago Wolves wins. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves YES regardless of outcome. Quote: 'If Milwaukee Admirals wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago Wolves wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
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