TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:14 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 9 at 7:00PM ET: If Manitoba Moose win, the market will resolve to "Manitoba Moose". If Grand Rapids Griffins win, the market will resolve to "Grand Rapids Griffins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 9 at 7:00PM ET: If Manitoba Moose win, the market will resolve to "Manitoba Moose". If Grand Rapids Griffins win, the market will resolve to "Grand Rapids Griffins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual predictions and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies, and whether there's an opportunity for value betting based on differing assessments of the same event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, providing a real-time estimate of the market's expectation for the AHL Manitoba vs. Grand Rapids game.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the AHL Manitoba vs. Grand Rapids game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources and official game results as we approach the resolution date to understand how the event is unfolding and to prepare for the market’s final settlement.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 9, 2026. Key player injuries, unexpected lineup changes, or significant shifts in team performance could all lead to price adjustments. News regarding team morale, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions impacting travel could also play a role. Additionally, large trades or significant volume from informed traders could signal a change in market sentiment. Monitoring hockey news and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move the market.