TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:49 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 10 at 8:00PM ET: If Manitoba Moose win, the market will resolve to "Manitoba Moose". If Chicago Wolves win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Wolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 10 at 8:00PM ET: If Manitoba Moose win, the market will resolve to "Manitoba Moose". If Chicago Wolves win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Wolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to express their beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from those offered elsewhere. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights that aren’t immediately reflected in sportsbook pricing, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share that pays out if their predicted outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the AHL game between the Manitoba Moose and the Chicago Wolves, as reported by the AHL's official website or other widely recognized sports news sources. The market will determine which team won the game, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even weather conditions that might affect gameplay, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived advantages.