TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Iowa Wild vs. Rockford IceHogs
Volume:
$569
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Iowa Wild and Rockford IceHogs scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Iowa Wild win and Rockford IceHogs win) are stated to resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market documentation appears to have a critical error. The resolution logic should specify mutually exclusive outcomes (e.g., Yes for Iowa Wild win, No for Rockford win), but instead both outcomes map to Yes. Contact Kalshi support immediately for clarification before trading. Polymarket's binary structure is clear and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary outcome structure. Iowa Wild victory resolves to Iowa Wild, Rockford victory resolves to Rockford IceHogs. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score includes overtime and shootouts (one goal added for shootout winner). Source: theahl.com official schedule.
- Kalshi: Logically incoherent resolution criteria. Both "If Iowa Wild wins" and "If Rockford Icehogs wins" are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible resolution state. No fallback logic provided for postponement or cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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