TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Tucson Roadrunners
Volume:
$9,586
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Henderson Silver Knights and Tucson Roadrunners scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT. Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket both resolve based on the final outcome of this game, with differing resolution structures and edge-case handling.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary Yes/Yes resolution structure is logically incoherent and contradicts standard market design. Polymarket uses proper categorical resolution. Additionally, edge-case protocols (postponement, cancellation) are either absent or contradictory between platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market until clarification is obtained—the Yes/Yes logic suggests a specification error that could lead to unintended resolution. Polymarket's market is resolvable and follows industry standard. If you must trade, treat Kalshi as a binary 'game occurs' market, not a winner-determination market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/Yes structure: both Henderson Silver Knights win and Tucson Roadrunners win resolve to Yes. No explicit guidance on postponements or cancellations. Quote: 'If Henderson Silver Knights wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tucson Roadrunners wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: Henderson Silver Knights win resolves to 'Henderson Silver Knights'; Tucson Roadrunners win resolves to 'Tucson Roadrunners'. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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