TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:49 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:05PM ET: If Hartford Wolf Pack win, the market will resolve to "Hartford Wolf Pack". If Lehigh Valley Phantoms win, the market will resolve to "Lehigh Valley Phantoms". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:05PM ET: If Hartford Wolf Pack win, the market will resolve to "Hartford Wolf Pack". If Lehigh Valley Phantoms win, the market will resolve to "Lehigh Valley Phantoms". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly in niche events like this AHL matchup, as prediction markets can incorporate a broader range of factors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. This allows for a fluid adjustment of expectations based on incoming information and changing perspectives.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the AHL game between the Hartford Wolf Pack and the Lehigh Valley Phantoms, as reported by a recognized sports data source. The market will determine which team won the game, and shares will be settled accordingly. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the outcome for all traders.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could all impact the perceived likelihood of either team winning. Game-day reports, such as starting goaltenders being announced, often trigger significant movement. Additionally, broader trends in team performance or shifts in public sentiment, driven by sports analysts or media coverage, can also affect trading volume and price. Any information that alters the assessment of each team’s chances will likely be reflected in the market.