TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Colorado Eagles and Bakersfield Condors scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Colorado Eagles win and Bakersfield Condors win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses a sound categorical structure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the market structure is corrected. The platform cannot distinguish between the two outcomes. Trade only on Polymarket, which has clear categorical resolution logic. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether this is a documentation error or if a third outcome (tie) exists.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure with both game outcomes resolving to Yes. Quote: If Colorado Eagles wins the game, market resolves to Yes. If Bakersfield Condors wins the game, market resolves to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes.Polymarket:
Categorical outcome market with three explicit states: Colorado Eagles (if they win), Bakersfield Condors (if they win), or 50-50 split (if game is canceled with no makeup). Quote: If Colorado Eagles win, resolve to Colorado Eagles. If Bakersfield Condors win, resolve to Bakersfield Condors. Postponed games remain open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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