TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:42 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 4 at 3:00PM ET: If Chicago Wolves win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Wolves". If Manitoba Moose win, the market will resolve to "Manitoba Moose". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 4 at 3:00PM ET: If Chicago Wolves win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Wolves". If Manitoba Moose win, the market will resolve to "Manitoba Moose". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a house edge, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply varying levels of public interest. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but this market shows a more even split, it might suggest traders believe the sportsbook is overestimating that team’s chances. Observing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current top outcome is unavailable, and the implied probability is also unavailable at this time, but these figures are constantly updated based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the AHL game between the Chicago Wolves and Manitoba Moose, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine which team won the game, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution process and confirm the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Chicago Wolves or Manitoba Moose would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, major announcements about coaching changes or team strategies might impact the perceived probability of each team winning. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential market fluctuations.