TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:15 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 11 at 3:05PM ET: If Charlotte Checkers win, the market will resolve to "Charlotte Checkers". If Springfield Thunderbirds win, the market will resolve to "Springfield Thunderbirds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 11 at 3:05PM ET: If Charlotte Checkers win, the market will resolve to "Charlotte Checkers". If Springfield Thunderbirds win, the market will resolve to "Springfield Thunderbirds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, varying levels of expertise among bettors, and the influence of public perception. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all traders on the platform. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are always up-to-date and reflect the latest information.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the AHL game between the Charlotte Checkers and the Springfield Thunderbirds will be used to determine the winning share. Resolution will occur after official game results are published and independently verified. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Charlotte Checkers or the Springfield Thunderbirds would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any news regarding coaching changes, significant trades, or even weather conditions impacting travel could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price. Monitoring these events is crucial for understanding potential shifts in the odds.