TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:34 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 4 at 3:00PM ET: If Charlotte Checkers win, the market will resolve to "Charlotte Checkers". If Hershey Bears win, the market will resolve to "Hershey Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 4 at 3:00PM ET: If Charlotte Checkers win, the market will resolve to "Charlotte Checkers". If Hershey Bears win, the market will resolve to "Hershey Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that a large number of traders have a strong conviction about a particular result. It’s useful to compare the two to gain a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the series.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the series’ potential results. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising the price and increased selling pressure lowering it. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the AHL playoffs series between the Charlotte Checkers and the Hershey Bears. The platform will verify the winner of the series against publicly available and authoritative sources to determine the final outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to monitor official announcements to stay informed about the resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Key player injuries on either the Charlotte Checkers or Hershey Bears would likely cause price adjustments. Unexpected performance from a goaltender or a star player could also shift the odds. Game results throughout the series will be major catalysts, with each win or loss impacting trader sentiment. News regarding team strategy, coaching changes, or even off-ice issues could also contribute to market movement. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the series’ outcome.