TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:24 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:00PM ET: If Belleville Senators win, the market will resolve to "Belleville Senators". If Syracuse Crunch win, the market will resolve to "Syracuse Crunch". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:00PM ET: If Belleville Senators win, the market will resolve to "Belleville Senators". If Syracuse Crunch win, the market will resolve to "Syracuse Crunch". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each team winning. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced the game, the odds here may move in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a lot of money has been wagered on either side, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for those who can identify them.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all traders participating in the market. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the AHL game between the Belleville Senators and the Syracuse Crunch, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine which team won the game, and shares will be redeemed accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game result to understand when the market will be settled and how their positions will be valued.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the game is played. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Belleville Senators or the Syracuse Crunch would likely cause significant movement. Changes in goaltending matchups, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. As the game approaches, any late-breaking information will be quickly incorporated into the market price, reflecting the evolving probabilities.