TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Belleville Senators vs. Hartford Wolf Pack
Volume:
$1,405
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Belleville Senators and Hartford Wolf Pack scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 7:30 PM EST. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final game outcome, including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory: both possible game outcomes (Belleville win and Hartford win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unable to differentiate between outcomes. This is a data integrity failure that renders the Kalshi market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the market is corrected. The Polymarket version correctly resolves to the winning team name and should be used as the reference market. A corrected Kalshi market should resolve to Yes only if Belleville wins, or only if Hartford wins, but not both.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Resolves to winner name (Belleville Senators or Hartford Wolf Pack). Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Overtime and shootout outcomes count toward final score. Key Quote: 'If Belleville Senators win, the market will resolve to Belleville Senators. If Hartford Wolf Pack win, the market will resolve to Hartford Wolf Pack.'
- Kalshi: Both Belleville win and Hartford win resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No distinction between outcomes. Key Quote: 'If Belleville Senators wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Hartford Wolf Pack wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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