This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Bakersfield Condors and San Diego Gulls scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 9:00 PM EST. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi uses a binary Yes/Yes resolution structure (both outcomes map to Yes), while Polymarket uses a categorical resolution (team name). Polymarket includes explicit postponement and cancellation rules; Kalshi does not.
Hero Tip:
Verify Kalshi's resolution logic with the platform—the Yes/Yes structure may be a data error. Polymarket's market is more transparent and handles edge cases explicitly. Traders should confirm Kalshi's intended No outcome before committing capital.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Binary market structure where both Bakersfield Condors win and San Diego Gulls win resolve to Yes. No documented handling of postponement, cancellation, or overtime/shootout scoring. Key Quote: 'If Bakersfield Condors wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego Gulls wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Categorical resolution to winning team name (Bakersfield Condors or San Diego Gulls). Explicit rules: postponed games remain open until completion; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score. Key Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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