TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Bakersfield Condors and Colorado Eagles scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 9:05 PM EST. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Bakersfield win and Colorado win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity issue. Kalshi's market description appears to have a copy-paste or transcription error. Before trading on Kalshi, contact support to confirm the intended resolution logic. Polymarket's binary outcome structure is standard and resolvable. Consider trading only on Polymarket until Kalshi clarifies.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market with three explicit resolution paths: (1) Bakersfield Condors win resolves to 'Bakersfield Condors', (2) Colorado Eagles win resolves to 'Colorado Eagles', (3) Postponement keeps market open, (4) Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution includes overtime and shootouts (shootout adds one goal to winner's score). Key Quote: 'If Bakersfield Condors win, the market will resolve to Bakersfield Condors. If Colorado Eagles win, the market will resolve to Colorado Eagles.'Kalshi:
Yes/No market with contradictory resolution criteria: both Bakersfield Condors win AND Colorado Eagles win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes. Key Quote: 'If Bakersfield Condors wins...resolves to Yes. If Colorado Eagles wins...resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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