TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:35 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 11 at 3:00PM ET: If Bakersfield Condors win, the market will resolve to "Bakersfield Condors". If Calgary Wranglers win, the market will resolve to "Calgary Wranglers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for October 11 at 3:00PM ET: If Bakersfield Condors win, the market will resolve to "Bakersfield Condors". If Calgary Wranglers win, the market will resolve to "Calgary Wranglers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, theoretically providing a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and sentiment emerge, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines as the event approaches. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd, constantly updating as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the AHL game between the Bakersfield Condors and the Calgary Wranglers. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available data. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on their shareholding and the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bakersfield Condors or the Calgary Wranglers would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in goaltending matchups or coaching strategies could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale or potential roster adjustments could play a role. Even significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could lead to notable movements in the market price.