TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:18 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming KPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-10-04 12:40 UTC: if Rogue Warriors wins the series, the market will resolve to "Rogue Warriors"; if AG Super Play wins the series, the market will resolve to "AG Super Play". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://kpl.qq.com. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming KPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-10-04 12:40 UTC: if Rogue Warriors wins the series, the market will resolve to "Rogue Warriors"; if AG Super Play wins the series, the market will resolve to "AG Super Play". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://kpl.qq.com. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant number of traders believe one outcome is more likely, the odds will reflect that, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, as they aggregate diverse opinions.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share in the potential payout if their predicted outcome wins. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Super Play vs Rogue Warriors match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the governing body of the competition, ensuring a fair and transparent process. Traders will then be paid out according to their holdings in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. News regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even significant shifts in public perception could all impact trader behavior. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to move the market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest developments.