TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:23 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming KPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-10-06 12:00 UTC: if Douyu Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "Douyu Gaming"; if AG Super Play wins the series, the market will resolve to "AG Super Play". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://kpl.qq.com. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming KPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-10-06 12:00 UTC: if Douyu Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "Douyu Gaming"; if AG Super Play wins the series, the market will resolve to "AG Super Play". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://kpl.qq.com. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by participants’ willingness to buy or sell based on their own assessments. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Opinion may move in the opposite direction. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy, especially when there’s substantial public interest.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. This means the odds are constantly evolving based on supply and demand, offering a real-time view of public opinion on the AG Super Play vs Douyu Gaming match.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the AG Super Play vs Douyu Gaming match as reported by the governing esports league or tournament organizer. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning result. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either AG Super Play or Douyu Gaming could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major announcements about the tournament format or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, general public perception and social media buzz surrounding the match can contribute to price movements, as traders react to evolving information and opinions. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these teams could also influence expectations.