TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Romanian Superliga. It focuses on determining whether either of the two competing teams wins the game within regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the AFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc versus Voluntari professional Romanian Superliga soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026. If AFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc secures a victory after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Voluntari achieves a win within the same timeframe, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and participant biases than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Therefore, you may find discrepancies between the two. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, and they can sometimes offer more favorable odds than traditional sportsbooks, depending on the level of interest and informed trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc will win, the price of that outcome’s contract will increase, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Romanian Liga 2 match between AFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc and Voluntari, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will settle to 100, representing the winning outcome, or 0 for any losing outcomes. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how their contracts will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, performance in recent matches for both Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc and Voluntari, as well as any strategic announcements from either team, could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring sports news and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts.