TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 5:50 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between AFC Wimbledon and Mansfield Town FC, scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AFC Wimbledon" if AFC Wimbledon are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mansfield Town FC" if Mansfield Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AFC Wimbledon and Mansfield Town FC, scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AFC Wimbledon" if AFC Wimbledon are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mansfield Town FC" if Mansfield Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether AFC Wimbledon or Mansfield Town will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments, creating a constantly evolving representation of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the AFC Wimbledon vs. Mansfield Town match. The official match records will serve as the source of truth for determining the winning outcome. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either AFC Wimbledon or Mansfield Town would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sources, could all contribute to price movements. Any information that alters perceptions of each team’s scoring potential has the capacity to move this market.