TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:48 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between AFC Bournemouth and Sunderland AFC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth" if AFC Bournemouth are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sunderland AFC" if Sunderland AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AFC Bournemouth and Sunderland AFC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth" if AFC Bournemouth are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sunderland AFC" if Sunderland AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, allows traders to dynamically adjust probabilities based on new information and collective belief. It’s common to see prediction market odds move more quickly in response to breaking news or shifts in public sentiment than sportsbook odds, though discrepancies can emerge based on differing risk assessments and market efficiencies.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – AFC Bournemouth or Sunderland AFC – scored the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s market rules, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either AFC Bournemouth or Sunderland AFC would likely cause shifts in the odds. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as a change in formation or starting lineup, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis suggesting a change in team performance, could all contribute to movement in this market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move the market.