TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:29 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between AFC Bournemouth and Sunderland AFC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth" if AFC Bournemouth are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Sunderland AFC" if Sunderland AFC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AFC Bournemouth and Sunderland AFC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth" if AFC Bournemouth are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Sunderland AFC" if Sunderland AFC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both have their strengths and weaknesses, and neither is guaranteed to be consistently more accurate. The efficiency of this market depends on participation and information availability.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Bournemouth or Sunderland will score first in the first half. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the result. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likely first goalscorer in the opening period.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, scores the first goal during the first half of the AFC Bournemouth versus Sunderland AFC match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Any goals scored during extra time or a penalty shootout will not be considered for the purpose of resolving this market, only goals scored within the standard 45-minute first half period.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Bournemouth or Sunderland would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could influence the perceived likelihood of a quick goal. Furthermore, general news and analysis surrounding team performance and recent form could all contribute to movements in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026.