Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official outcome of the AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC match on March 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with the same primary source (Premier League official statistics) and identical scope.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League statistics and governing body records
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Polymarket Bournemouth WIN resolves YES if Bournemouth wins; otherwise NO.
Polymarket Manchester United WIN resolves YES if Manchester United wins; otherwise NO.
Polymarket DRAW resolves YES if the match ends in a draw; otherwise NO.
Kalshi market resolves YES if any of the three outcomes (Manchester United win, draw, or Bournemouth win) occurs.
Exactly ONE of the three Polymarket markets will resolve YES; the Kalshi market will always resolve YES if the match is completed.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until completion.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket Bournemouth and Manchester United markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES; Kalshi resolves based on the final outcome if rescheduled.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open until the game is completed on its rescheduled date.
Match Cancellation Without Reschedule: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's Bournemouth and Manchester United win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES. Kalshi's resolution in this scenario is contingent on whether a rescheduled match occurs.
Resolution Source Fallback: If official Premier League statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms may use consensus from credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official Premier League announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or upon consensus credible reporting if official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.