TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, AFC Bournemouth or AC Milan, will win the second half of a UEFA Europa League match, or if the second half will end in a draw. The markets focus solely on goals scored during the second half of regulation time, including stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between AFC Bournemouth and AC Milan, scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth" if AFC Bournemouth score more goals than AC Milan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AFC Bournemouth and AC Milan score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan score more goals than AFC Bournemouth in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between AFC Bournemouth and AC Milan, scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth" if AFC Bournemouth score more goals than AC Milan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AFC Bournemouth and AC Milan score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan score more goals than AFC Bournemouth in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief, creating a demand-based pricing mechanism. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing odds across both venues and sportsbooks, though transaction costs should be considered.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can occur for several reasons. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Bournemouth vs. Milan second half. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution may differ, influencing price discovery. These factors contribute to the possibility of observing different probabilities for the same outcome across the two platforms.