TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Eredivisie soccer match between AFC Ajax and Fortuna Sittard scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: Ajax win, Sittard win, or draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly addresses cancellation (draw resolves Yes, wins resolve No) and postponement (markets remain open). Kalshi provides no cancellation or postponement clause, creating ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Monitor Eredivisie official schedule for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the game is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while win markets resolve No, creating a potential arbitrage or hedge opportunity. Clarify Kalshi's default cancellation behavior with support before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Ajax win (Yes if Ajax wins, No otherwise), Sittard win (Yes if Sittard wins, No otherwise), and draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise). Explicitly states: if postponed, markets remain open; if canceled with no makeup, win markets resolve No and draw resolves Yes. Scope: 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Three binary markets structured as: Tie wins (Yes if draw), Sittard wins (Yes if Sittard wins), Ajax wins (Yes if Ajax wins). All resolve Yes if the respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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