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OPEN INTEREST:

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417,059

Markets across

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AEK vs. Real Madrid CF - First Team to Score
⌛Ending Soon
predict
polymarket

What team will score first?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$61,151
36%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

AEK

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 01d:17h:55m

AEK to score first vs. Real Madrid CF?

21%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 23¢ buys you 435 shares | Odds: 21% Total Payout: $435 | Net Profit: $335 Multiplier: 4.35x | ROI: 335% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

AEK

Trade
21%
Yes 23¢No 82¢
5¢
$9,649
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 17h 55m
Active
predict

AEK1

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 19h 55m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 5¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

Real Madrid CF

Trade
77%
1%
Yes 79¢No 26¢
5¢
$14,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 17h 55m
Active
predict

RMA

Trade
N/A
N/A
23¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 19h 55m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 14¢Max: 23¢
polymarket

Neither

Trade
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 98¢
1.2¢
$36,706
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 17h 55m
Active
predict

Neither

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 19h 55m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 1.2¢Max: 1.2¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts which team will score the first goal in the AEK vs. Real Madrid CF match on November 4, 2026. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. A 'Neither' outcome is possible if no goal is scored within that timeframe.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms utilize identical resolution criteria, focusing on the first goal scored within the standard 90-minute match duration plus stoppage time, with the same fallback data sources.Primary resolution logic: Official match statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with a tiered fallback system to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the outcome.
  • If no team scores within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Postponements result in delayed resolution until the match is completed.
  • Cancellations with no rescheduled match result in resolution to 'Neither'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Source Conflicts: If discrepancies arise between the primary and fallback data sources, the official match statistics take precedence. If official statistics are unavailable, the order of precedence is Flashscore, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting.
  • Match Abandonment: If the match is abandoned before a goal is scored, and no rescheduled match occurs, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official statistics are available, whichever is later. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50, or to 'Draw' where applicable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between AEK and Real Madrid CF, scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AEK" if AEK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between AEK and Real Madrid CF, scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AEK" if AEK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets allow traders to openly buy and sell shares, driving prices based on collective belief. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, though this isn’t always the case, and both can be valuable sources of information when assessing the AEK vs. Real Madrid match.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the AEK vs. Real Madrid first-to-score market can arise from several factors. Different user bases on each platform may have varying levels of expertise or access to information about team form, injuries, or tactical approaches. Trading volume also plays a role; a higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting odds—how traders can place bets and adjust their positions—differ between Polymarket and Predict, influencing price movements. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which team—AEK or Real Madrid—scored the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be verified against credible public sources. This ensures a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market, providing a clear result based on the actual events of the game.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either AEK or Real Madrid would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might influence the style of play and, consequently, the perceived likelihood of each team scoring first. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis or expert opinions that gain traction could also contribute to price movements in this market.