TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:18h:11m
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In the upcoming match between ADO Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "ADO Den Haag" if ADO Den Haag are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sparta Rotterdam" if Sparta Rotterdam are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between ADO Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "ADO Den Haag" if ADO Den Haag are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sparta Rotterdam" if Sparta Rotterdam are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when subjective factors or less-publicly available information are considered. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though this market represents a unique forecast.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. As more shares are traded for a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe ADO Den Haag will score first, they will buy shares, driving up the price and indicating a greater likelihood according to the market. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the ADO Den Haag vs. Sparta Rotterdam match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome, and the market will settle accordingly. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the market leading up to Nov 7, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either ADO Den Haag or Sparta Rotterdam would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even credible reports about team morale, could all serve as catalysts for movement in this market as traders react to new information.